Детальная информация

This study addresses the global need for the energy and food transition to rely on renewable energies, focusing on green hydrogen production through the techno-economic evaluation of a highly significant project for the sector, already under construction. The first-of-a-kind project, Villeta (145 MW) in Paraguay, aims to produce green fertilizers based on stable, low-cost hydroelectricity (energy surpluses), using alkaline (ALK) electrolyzer technology. Thus, the evaluation estimates, as its central and strategic objective, the Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) of production, a standard techno-economic metric. To this end, the proposed techno-economic model is based on the international standard models, DOE’s H2A and ESMAP, also incorporating local sensitivity analysis and uncertainty analysis through stochastic methods (Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 possible LCOH scenarios). The study results indicate an LCOH value of 2.9 USD/kgH₂ ±25%, with an energy cost share of 76.65%, under a capacity factor of 0.9 and a WACC of 9%, typical for EMDCs. Thus, it can be said that the outlook for developing a hydrogen economy in Paraguay is significantly favorable, considering that currently only a minority of global green hydrogen projects easily exceed production costs above 3 USD/kgH₂ [1] and the current macroeconomic stability.