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Название Economy and History. — War, Bond Prices, and Public Opinion: How Did the Amsterdam Bond Market Perceive the Belligerents' War Effort During World War One?. – 2021.
Авторы Jopp Tobias A.
Выходные сведения Tübingen: Mohr Siebeck, 2021
Коллекция Электронные книги зарубежных издательств ; Общая коллекция
Тематика Bond market — History ; World War, 1914-1918 — Economic aspects. ; EBSCO eBooks
Тип документа Другой
Тип файла PDF
Язык Английский
Права доступа Доступ по паролю из сети Интернет (чтение, печать, копирование)
Ключ записи on1244627002
Дата создания записи 03.04.2021

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  • Cover
  • Title
  • Preface
  • Table of contents
  • List of tables
  • List of figures
  • List of abbreviations
  • I. Introduction
    • 1. World War One as a study object of the economic historian
    • 2. The war and sources on how it was perceived by the public
    • 3. Capital market data as an alternative indicator of perception
      • 3.1. Bond prices – how new an indicator?
      • 3.2. What do bond prices say?
      • 3.3. Agnostic event analysis
      • 3.4. Pros and cons of the “capital market data approach to perception”
    • 4. Study design
      • 4.1. Research questions
      • 4.2. Why Amsterdam?
      • 4.3. Structure of the study
      • 4.4. Placing the study
  • II. Historical background, sources, and data
    • 1. The Netherlands and World War One
    • 2. Sources on sovereign bonds traded in Amsterdam
      • 2.1. Amsterdam bond prices
      • 2.2. Additional bond price and miscellaneous data
    • 3. Description of the created sovereign bond database
      • 3.1. The Amsterdam cross-section of sovereign bonds
      • 3.2. Market price indices and liquidity
      • 3.3. Representative bonds versus country indices
      • 3.4. Comparative market development and cross-trading
    • 4. Potential and limitations of the database
      • 4.1. Time frame
      • 4.2. Price formation
      • 4.3. Capital market regulation
      • 4.4. Who were the investors?
  • III. Turning points in the perception of the Great Powers’ war effort
    • 1. The problem
    • 2. Which breaks have been detected so far?
    • 3. How timetable analysis can help
    • 4. Data selection
    • 5. Empirical findings
      • 5.1. Shifting mean regressions as the technical point of departure
      • 5.2. Turning points in investors’ perception at a glance
      • 5.3. Explaining turning points in the major powers’ series
      • 5.4. Explaining turning points in the minor powers’ series
    • 6. Checking for the turning points’ robustness
      • 6.1. Including economic variables
      • 6.2. Results of the robustness check
    • 7. Discussion
      • 7.1. Turning points versus blips – the example of Germany
      • 7.2. Agnostic turning points versus turning points “informed by historiography”
      • 7.3. Simple sovereign bonds-based perception indices
  • IV. Perception of alliance credibility
    • 1. The problem
    • 2. Alliance formation before and during the war
      • 2.1. The various alliances at a glance
      • 2.2. Measuring the alliances’ strength
    • 3. Alliance credibility
    • 4. Data selection
    • 5. Empirical findings on a “global” test
      • 5.1. Starting from a simple approximation of co-movement – correlation coefficients
      • 5.2. Do we find cointegrating relationships?
    • 6. Empirical findings on a “sub-periods” test
      • 6.1. Correlation coefficients once more
      • 6.2. Was perceived credibility unstable?
    • 7. Discussion
      • 7.1. Measuring the degree of alliance integration
      • 7.2. What can Granger-causality tell?
  • V. Conclusions
    • 1. Turning points summary
    • 2. Have historians missed out on major events?
    • 3. Alliance perception summary
    • 4. Outlook
  • List of sources and references
    • Primary sources – Dutch historical newspapers/journals/handbooks/laws
    • Primary sources – contemporary monographs/articles up until 1924
    • Secondary literature
  • Online Appendix
  • Index

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