Details
| Title | Optimizing Anti-Money Laundering Systems for Digital Currencies from an International Financial Perspective: выпускная квалификационная работа магистра: направление 38.04.01 «Экономика» ; образовательная программа 38.04.01_28 «Международные финансы (международная образовательная программа)» |
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| Creators | Чжоу Фаньчао |
| Scientific adviser | Кравченко Валентина Витальевна |
| Organization | Санкт-Петербургский политехнический университет Петра Великого. Институт промышленного менеджмента, экономики и торговли |
| Imprint | Санкт-Петербург, 2026 |
| Collection | Выпускные квалификационные работы ; Общая коллекция |
| Subjects | цифровая валюта ; противодействие отмыванию денег (AML) ; трансграничное движение капитала ; система регулирования ; CBDC ; финансовая стабильность ; digital currency ; anti-money laundering (AML) ; cross-border capital flows ; regulatory governance ; financial stability |
| Document type | Master graduation qualification work |
| Language | Russian |
| Level of education | Master |
| Speciality code (FGOS) | 38.04.01 |
| Speciality group (FGOS) | 380000 - Экономика и управление |
| DOI | 10.18720/SPBPU/3/2026/vr/vr26-5906 |
| Rights | Доступ по паролю из сети Интернет (чтение, печать, копирование) |
| Additionally | New arrival |
| Record key | ru\spstu\vkr\44450 |
| Record create date | 9/3/2026 |
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В данном исследовании анализируется неоднородное влияние частных криптовалют, стейблкоинов и CBDC на международные финансы, выявляются шесть типичных трансграничных схем отмывания денег и раскрывается самоусиливающаяся регуляторная дилемма (технологический разрыв → юрисдикционный вакуум → координационная ловушка). С использованием панельных данных (2020–2025 гг., десять экономик) и моделей GARCH-BEKK установлено, что объём торгов криптовалютами положительно коррелирует с объёмом аномальных потоков капитала (коэффициент 0,327, p<0,01), при этом уязвимость стран с формирующимся рынком более чем вдвое выше, чем у развитых экономик. Предлагается трёхуровневая система совместного управления, объединяющая мониторинг on-chain на основе ИИ, встраиваемый в смарт-контракты надзор, подтверждение соответствия с использованием доказательств с нулевым разглашением и механизм глобального сотрудничества «общие выгоды – общие издержки».
This study analyzes the heterogeneous impacts of private cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, and CBDCs on international finance, identifies six typical cross-border money laundering patterns, and reveals a self-reinforcing regulatory dilemma (technology mismatch → jurisdictional vacuum → coordination trap). Using panel data (2020–2025, ten economies) and GARCH-BEKK models, it finds that cryptocurrency trading volume positively correlates with abnormal capital flows (coefficient 0.327, p<0.01), with emerging markets twice as vulnerable as developed economies. A three‑layer collaborative governance framework is proposed, integrating AI-driven on-chain monitoring, smart contract-embedded supervision, zero-knowledge proof compliance, and a “shared benefits, shared costs” global cooperation mechanism.
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- ВЫПУСКНАЯ КВАЛИФИКАЦИОННАЯ РАБОТА МАГИСТЕРСКАЯ ДИССЕРТАЦИЯ
- ОПТИМИЗАЦИЯ СИСТЕМ ПРОТИВОДЕЙСТВИЯ ОТМЫВАНИЮ ДЕНЕГ В СФЕРЕ ЦИФРОВЫХ ВАЛЮТ С МЕЖДУНАРОДНОЙ ФИНАНСОВОЙ ТОЧКИ ЗРЕНИЯ
- for graduation qualification work
- ОПТИМИЗАЦИЯ СИСТЕМ ПРОТИВОДЕЙСТВИЯ ОТМЫВАНИЮ ДЕНЕГ В СФЕРЕ ЦИФРОВЫХ ВАЛЮТ С МЕЖДУНАРОДНОЙ ФИНАНСОВОЙ ТОЧКИ ЗРЕНИЯ
- 1.1. Classification and Characteristics of Digital Currencies
- 1.1.1. Private Cryptocurrencies: Dominated by Decentralization and Anonymity
- 1.1.2. StableCoin: Between Value Stability and Regulatory Arbitrage
- 1.1.3. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC): Centralized Regulation and Programmability Integration
- 1.1.4. Comparison of Core Features of Three Types of Digital Currencies
- 1.2. Digital Currency Money Laundering Patterns
- 1.3. Regulation Challenges of Digital Currency Anti-Money Laundering
- 1.4. Anti-Money Laundering Strategies for Digital Currencies
- 1.5. Core Theoretical Frameworks
- 1.5.1. Financial Innovation Theory
- 1.5.2. Regulatory Capture Theory
- 1.5.3. International Cooperation Theory
- 1.5.4. Theory of Technological Governance
- 1.6. Research Gaps and Academic Controversies
- 1.6.1 Research Gaps
- 1.6.2. Academic Controversies
- 1.7. Chapter Summary
- 2. ANALYSIS AND EMPIRICAL STUDY
- 2.1. Impact of Digital Currencies on International Finance
- 2.1.1. Impact on Cross-border Capital Flows: Efficiency Improvement and Risk Escalation Coexist
- 2.1.2. Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations: A Game Between Short-term Disturbances and Long-term Equilibrium
- 2.1.3. Impact on Fiscal Sovereignty: Restructuring and Game of Monetary Control
- 2.1.4. Summary of the Transmission Pathways of Digital Currency Impact on International Finance
- 2.2. Cross-border Money Laundering Patterns and Case Studies of Digital Currencies
- 2.3. Structural Analysis of the Regulatory Dilemma of Digital Currency Money Laundering
- 2.3.1. Core Regulatory Challenges in Digital Currency Money Laundering
- 2.3.2. The Internal Logic of the Supervision Dilemma: A Structural Analysis
- The Dilemma Loop: How Challenges Amplify Each Other.
- Figure 4 - Self‑Reinforcing Loop of the Regulatory Dilemma (made by author)
- The Structural Roots of the Dilemma.
- 2.3.3. Implications for Governance Design
- 2.4. Chapter Summary
- 3. A COLLABORATIVE GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK FOR CROSS-BORDER DIGITAL CURRENCY ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING AND ITS IMPLEMENTATION PATHWAYS
- 3.1. Research Findings and Theoretical Implications
- 3.1.1. Core Research Findings
- 1. Heterogeneous impacts of the three types of digital currencies on international finance.
- 2. Common technical logic and three‑layer evolutionary trends of the six money laundering patterns.
- 3. Self‑reinforcing loop of the regulatory dilemma.
- 3.1.2. Theoretical Implications and Framework Integration
- 1. Theoretical integration of the “technology‑institution‑interest” tripartite framework.
- 2. Systematic responses to the four research gaps.
- 3. Positions on the three academic controversies.
- 3.1.3. Re‑examination of Research Significance
- 1. Deepening of theoretical significance.
- 2. Enrichment of practical significance.
- 3.1.1. Core Research Findings
- 3.2. Design of the Three‑Layer Collaborative Governance Framework
- 3.2.1. Technological Layer: A RegTech‑Driven Intelligent Supervision System
- 1. AI - and machine learning - based large - scale real - time on - chain monitoring systems.
- 2. Smart contract‑embedded supervision: from ex‑post accountability to in‑process intervention.
- 3. Technical solutions for balancing privacy protection and regulatory transparency.
- 4. Emerging technology risk warning and forward‑looking defence.
- 3.2.2. Institutional Layer: Differentiated Regulation and Compliance Incentive Mechanisms
- 1. A tiered regulatory framework for the three types of digital currencies.
- a) Private cryptocurrencies: access restrictions and transparency requirements.
- b) Stablecoins: reserve auditing and issuer supervision.
- c) CBDCs: Institutionalising the export of regulatory advantages.
- 2. Strengthened KYC/CDD obligations for VASPs and compliance incentive mechanisms.
- 3. Legal characterisation of emerging business forms such as DeFi and DAOs, and allocation of AML obligations.
- 4. Design of mechanisms to prevent regulatory capture.
- 1. A tiered regulatory framework for the three types of digital currencies.
- 3.2.3. Collaborative Layer: From Fragmentation to “Shared Benefits, Shared Costs” Global Cooperation
- 1. The operational logic and theoretical basis of the “shared benefits, shared costs” mechanism.
- 2. Practical experience with regional mutual recognition mechanisms and pathways for diffusion.
- 3. CBDC cross‑border mutual recognition and joint supervision agreement framework.
- 4. Coordination mechanisms for data sovereignty and cross‑border information sharing.
- 5. The enabling role of international organisations in the collaborative layer.
- 3.2.4. The Internal Logic and Operational Mechanism of the Three‑Layer Governance Framework
- 3.2.1. Technological Layer: A RegTech‑Driven Intelligent Supervision System
- 3.3. Policy Recommendations and Implementation Roadmap
- 3.3.1. Policy Recommendations for Sovereign States
- 3.3.2. Action Initiatives for International Organisations
- 3.3.3. Implementation Roadmap
- To operationalize the proposed digital asset anti-money laundering framework, a phased implementation roadmap is essential, aligning regulatory, technical, and cross-border cooperation milestones. The following three-stage plan outlines priority actio...
- Table 9 - Implementation Roadmap for Digital Asset AML Governance (Three-Phase Plan) (made by author)
- 3.4. Research Limitations and Future Directions
- 3.4.1. Research Limitations
- 3.4.2. Future Research Directions
- 3.5. Conclusion
- 3.1. Research Findings and Theoretical Implications
- CONCLUSION
- This dissertation systematically optimises anti‑money laundering (AML) systems for digital currencies from an international financial perspective. By integrating theoretical analysis, panel regression, GARCH‑BEKK volatility spillover models, case stud...
- 1. Heterogeneous impacts on international finance
- Private cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, and CBDCs affect cross‑border capital flows, exchange rates, and fiscal sovereignty differently. Panel data (2020–2025, ten economies) show that cryptocurrency trading volume is positively correlated with abnorma...
- 2. Six money laundering patterns and evolution
- Six typical patterns are dissected: DeFi ecosystem, NFT/metaverse, cross‑border OTC+payment networks, privacy coins+cross‑chain bridges, AI‑driven dynamic wallets, and shadow contracts. They share a common logic: identity anonymisation → fund path obf...
- 3. Self‑reinforcing regulatory dilemma
- Three core challenges – technological‑regulatory mismatch, jurisdictional vacuum, and coordination trap – form a self‑reinforcing loop, sustained by path dependence, sovereignty barriers, and epistemic limits. Breaking the loop requires simultaneous a...
- 4. “Technology‑institution‑interest” tripartite framework
- A novel analytical framework is constructed, viewing AML as a dynamic game among technological logic (RegTech, smart contract supervision), institutional logic (tiered regulation, legal clarity for DeFi/DAOs), and interest logic (asymmetric costs/bene...
- 5. Three‑layer collaborative governance framework
- Technological layer: AI‑driven on‑chain monitoring, smart contract‑embedded supervision (ex‑post to in‑process intervention), zero‑knowledge proof compliance (zkAML), and quantum‑resistant cryptography. Institutional layer: tiered regulation (private ...
- 6. Policy recommendations
- Advanced economies should export RegTech and fund capacity‑building; emerging markets must prioritise risk buffers and Travel Rule legislation; China should promote digital renminbi‑based multilateral AML cooperation. International organisations need ...
- 7. Author’s contribution and validity
- Original contributions: First “technology‑institution‑interest” framework; Quantitative evidence of heterogeneous impacts with threshold effects; Systematic mapping of six laundering patterns; Operational three‑layer governance design.
- Feasibility is validated by real‑world examples: mBridge cuts settlement time to 2‑3 seconds and costs by 76%; MiCA operates in 27 EU states; digital renminbi’s controllable anonymity achieves >90% anomaly interception.
- 8. Limitations and future research
- Data limited to 2020‑2025, omitted variables (regulatory stringency), inherent case concealment, insufficient sub‑category granularity. Future work should extend panel to 2030, include more controls, analyse AI/quantum convergence, compare retail vs. ...
- Overall conclusion
- Optimising digital currency AML demands a systemic, multi‑layer, collaborative approach, not isolated fixes. The proposed framework provides a pragmatic roadmap to transform the current vicious cycle of regulatory lag into a virtuous cycle of adaptive...
- BIBLIOGRAPHY